More than 400 points are already on the board across the league, the marquee game between Sofa Coordinators and Lamarvellous starts dead level, and last-placed Pigskin Pirates lead by 23.
Thanksgiving served up a feast. The Packers held off the Lions 31-24 behind four touchdown passes from Jordan Love; the Cowboys edged the Chiefs 31-28 in Patrick Mahomes' first start at AT&T Stadium; and the Bengals routed the Ravens 32-14 in Cincinnati. On Black Friday, the Bears bullied the Eagles 24-15, running for 281 yards while Philadelphia's offence stalled. Four games, eight teams, and a fantasy week already half-written: across the league more than 400 points are on the board before the Sunday slate even begins, and several Two Minute Warning matchups are well on their way to being decided.
Seventh-placed Phil has ambushed the table's runner-up before Sunday has even started. Pudsey Pelicans already sit on 48.1 points — 20.6 from Jared Goff, 14.5 from Ja'Marr Chase and 13.0 from Travis Kelce — while Owen is stranded on 10.1, with only Jahmyr Gibbs (a quiet 10.1) having played. Owen still has more left to come than anyone — his 143.8 projection barely touched — but he begins the day staring at a 38-point hole.
The holiday slate has already shaped the league; here is what it means and what is still to come.
Third against fourth, both 7-5, projected to within a point of each other, and a rematch of a Week 4 meeting — this is the pick of the slate. It also starts dead level, on 28.2 to 28.9, but with a twist: both managers' headline quarterbacks, Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson, have already played and are baked into those totals. With the marquee names done, the league's biggest game will be settled by the Sunday undercard. Joe K arrives on a three-game winning run; Mark on a three-game slide.
A straight scrap on the playoff line, sixth against eighth, and another Week 4 rematch. Rob holds a 12.8-point lead after the holiday games thanks to CeeDee Lamb and Christian Watson, but the blank from Amon-Ra St. Brown means it could have been more. Joe W, with Joe Burrow's 19.2 already in, will fancy his deeper Sunday roster to reel that back.
On the table it is first against ninth; after Thursday it is a coin toss. Runaway leaders Biscuit (9-3) already hold 53.2 points, but Gethin is right there on 48.6, with Mahomes' 29.4 doing the heavy lifting. The pair met back in Week 4 and were separated by just 3.5 points; the holiday games suggest another tight one, whatever the standings say.
Last-placed Pete carries a 23.1-point lead into Sunday, but Tom has the stronger slate to come, with Justin Herbert and Bijan Robinson yet to play. The question is whether the league's coldest side can make an early feast last.